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Netherlands vs Sri Lanka Match Prediction & Betting Tips

19 Oct 2022
Cricket Betting Prediction

Sri Lanka needed to win by a large margin against the UAE on Monday, and a 78-run win means they are in the driving seat to qualify for the Super 12s. Our Netherlands vs Sri Lanka betting tips are in - we think the Lions will get the win they need, though adverse weather conditions could complicate matters. 

The Netherlands, meanwhile, sit on top of the table knowing a share of the points will see them top the group. Don’t be surprised to see them stall for rain, which is forecast. 

Play starts from 9.30am on Thursday 20th October at the GMBHA Stadium in Geelong. Looking for some online cricket betting suggestions? Check out our comprehensive match preview below!


Netherlands vs Sri Lanka Betting Tips

Before we delve into our Netherlands vs Sri Lanka betting tips, we should recognise the importance of the size of the victory for the Lions on Tuesday. They needed a huge win to reverse the hammering their net run rate suffered against Namibia, and they got that against the UAE in the previous match. 

A great innings by Pathum Nissanka (74 from 60 balls) helped the Lions stagger toward 152/8 - a target they would not have been too happy defending. At one stage, they were 92/1 - a tell tale sign of the brittleness of the Sri Lankan line up. 

Defending, however, a sensational double act of Dushmantha Chameera (3/15 from 3.5 overs) and Wanindu Hasaranga (3/8 from 4 overs) proved too much for the UAE. They were reduced to 38/6 and left with no chance of chasing the target home.

The Netherlands, meanwhile, have two wins from two - but their position is more precarious than they would hope for, given the number of points they have amassed. If they don’t win against the highly-fancied Sri Lanka, they will have to hope Namibia suffers a surprise defeat to the UAE to guarantee qualification.

After limiting Namibia to 121/6 on Tuesday, they were cruising to victory before three wickets fell for two runs from 1.1 overs to leave the game delicately poised at 102/5. A gritty performance by de Leede and an invaluable eight runs from Tim Pringle saw them maintain their undefeated record, however. 

Our free cricket betting tips are revolving around a win for Sri Lanka - and a comfortable one, too. Although they were hardly convincing against the UAE, they have enough star power to overcome the Netherlands. You can back them at odds of 1.13, while the Oranje are available to bet at odds of 5.7. 

However, if you’re looking for bigger returns from your bets - check out our individual bet suggestions. Last time out, we predicted Pathum Nissanka to find his form and top score for Sri Lanka. If you followed us in, you would have got 3.6x your stake! We’re going with him to lead the way once again - he’s a genuine gem for the Lions. 

From the Netherlands' perspective, it might pay to take a second look at Bas de Leede in the wicket-taking and run-making rankings. He bagged 2/18 from 3.0 overs on Tuesday, before scoring a crucial 30 runs to help steer his side to victory over Namibia. 


Netherlands Preview

There is rain in the air - and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see a rain dance led by skipper Scott Edwards. If the match is abandoned due to rain, the Netherlands guarantee qualification for the next round. 

If the game goes ahead, nothing less than a win will do for the Netherlands. Victory for Namibia over the UAE is highly fancied on current form, and Edwards’ charges do not have a solid enough net run rate to get over the line. 

Netherlands coach Ryan Cook is all too aware of the significance of this game, telling reporters at the pre-match conference: “I think everyone knows these are pressure games in this tournament. Just to get to this point, in the World Cup qualifiers, you often have this kind of game as well. So we are fully prepared to being in these kinds of knockout games. And then, obviously, we know we have to play against good teams in this competition, who all have various threats. We prepare for all those eventualities. In terms of meeting those challenges, the guys are in a good space to do that.”

It is hoped the experience of Netherlands coaches Dan Christian and Gary Kirsten, both with experience in the Indian Premier League, will help them navigate the obvious threat of Hasaranga, with whom Dan Christian played with at the Royal Challengers Bangalore. 

There are no new injury concerns to worry about for team management. 

Predicted Playing XI

Max O'Dowd, Vikram Singh, Bas de Leede, Tom Cooper, Colin Ackermann, Scott Edwards(c)(wk), Roelof van der Merwe. Tim Pringle, Logan van Beek, Fredrick Klaassen, and Paul van Meekeren

Sri Lanka Preview

They needed a strong response after an embarrassing defeat to Namibia at the beginning of the tournament, and they got that thanks to brilliant performances from their star players. 

The former World Twenty20 champions and current Asia Cup champions are in their first-ever first round of this competition, and if their fans were expecting an easy ride, they got a nasty surprise. 

Skipper Dasun Shanaka insisted his side are focused on the task in hand and are not encumbered by their status as Asia Cup champions: “I think Asia Cup champions is history," Shanaka said. "That is just a title for us. There is no pressure at all. We just need to concentrate on our performances. And what we need to do to make sure we get into that second round. We know our strength. The first game [against Namibia] we didn't execute up to the mark, but we are a far better team than how we performed in the first game.”

Front line bowler Dushmantha Chameera will be missing for the remainder of the tournament, he’s been troubled by ankle and calf niggles. He could face surgery and is likely to be unavailable until later in 2023.

Other injury worries include hamstring injuries to pace bowler Pramod Madushan and Danushka Gunathilaka, both of whom will not play against the Netherlands. Kasun Rajitha, Asitha Fernando, and Matheesha Pathirana have been called up as replacements. 

Predicted Playing XI

Kusal Mendis (w), Pathum Nissanka, Bhanuka Rajapasksa, Kasun Rajitha, Charith Asalanka, Dasun Shanaka (c), Wanindu Hasaranga, Theekshana, Chamika Karunaratne, Matheesha Pathirana, Asitha Fernando

Venue & Weather Forecast

There is rain in the air - but the latest forecast is for clear skies in Geelong, Victoria. Only two of the eight innings so far in this tournament have surpassed the 150-run mark - will it be another low-scoring affair?


This one can go to Sri Lanka! They’re the Asia Cup champions, they have the better team, and can secure their advancement to the Super 12s. 

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